SOL Breaks $90 as Historic Rally Indicator Returns
Solana's price has climbed above the key $90 resistance level after a technical indicator, historically tied to a 142% price rally, appeared on March 17. The signal emerges after weeks of consolidation where SOL traded in a tight range between $81 and $91. This recent 7% price gain to $94.41 effectively invalidates a bearish chart setup and has turned technical sentiment positive for the first time since early January, according to the SuperTrend indicator.
The price action is supported by tightening Bollinger Bands, a technical setup that often precedes a significant breakout. While short-term moving averages remain below longer-term ones, the gap is narrowing, indicating weakening bearish momentum. For a bullish trend reversal to be confirmed, SOL must decisively break above resistance levels in the $110 to $120 zone.
Network Growth Fuels Bullish Case with $2.5B USDC Mint
Underpinning the technical breakout is a surge in fundamental network activity and growing institutional appetite. In the week leading up to March 16, stablecoin issuer Circle minted approximately $2.5 billion of USDC on the Solana blockchain, boosting the network's share of the total USDC supply to 12%, or about $8.4 billion. This massive liquidity injection is expected to fuel activity across Solana's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.
This recent growth builds on a strong foundation from 2025, when Solana-based decentralized exchanges processed over $1.57 trillion in trading volume. Institutional investors are also taking note, with Solana-linked ETFs recording $16 million in net inflows over the last four days. This combination of real network usage and rising institutional demand provides a solid basis for a sustained price increase.
Analysts Target $120 as Price Eyes Mean Reversion
With Solana breaking out of its consolidation range, market analysts are turning their attention to higher price targets. The next major technical milestone is a retest of the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is currently trending toward the $120 level. A successful move to this mark would represent a 26% gain from current levels and align with a classic "reversion to the mean" pattern.
Conservative forecasts for 2026 place SOL between $120 and $130, while more optimistic models project a potential climb toward the $198-$200 range if strong market conditions persist. Despite the positive outlook, risks remain. Long-term holders, who have been providing support at the $81 level, could reverse their accumulation trend. Furthermore, sustained price growth will depend on continued capital inflows and Solana's ability to maintain its competitive edge against other blockchain networks.
