Crypto hedge funds are pivoting to traditional commodities, using 24/7 perpetual contract platforms to generate returns that have become scarce in crypto-native markets. As yields on strategies like the Bitcoin basis trade have fallen to between 5% and 6%, funds are now applying the same arbitrage logic to tokenized gold, crude oil, and copper.
"The market-neutral strategies in crypto are still under pressure," Kacper Szafran of multi-manager fund M-Squared said, noting that funding rates and basis yields are now close to risk-free rates. "What we're focusing on now are essentially new market-neutral strategies built around real-world asset arbitrage," which he said currently generate monthly returns of about 1% to 3%, compared to just 0.5% from traditional crypto token strategies.
This shift is evident on platforms like Hyperliquid, where contracts on traditional assets accounted for about 30% of total trading volume in March, according to Coinmetrics data. The total market value for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) has surged by about 360% since the start of the year to $26.5 billion. Taylor Godwin, founder of the Alpha EV fund, detailed one such trade on Hyperliquid: shorting an over-bought silver contract while going long copper. The position, held for about a week, generated an annualized return of 20% to 30%, primarily from collecting the high funding fees from the crowded silver long side.
This new frontier offers opportunity but carries significant risk. These blockchain platforms operate outside the regulatory framework of traditional commodity exchanges, and while liquidity is growing, it remains thin compared to incumbent markets. Traders face potential forced liquidations if price oracles, which feed real-world prices to the blockchain, deviate from the actual market price. Furthermore, the underlying tokenized assets themselves lack standardization, exposing traders to risks like smart contract hacks that could lead to a price collapse and cascading liquidations.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.